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Rabu, 01 Oktober 2014

The Russell 2000 Has Deteriorated From 'Death Cross' To Full-Blown Correction

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The Russell 2000 Has Deteriorated From 'Death Cross' To Full-Blown Correction

It was ugly out there on Wednesday

The Dow fell more than 230 points, the S&P 500 lost 26 and the Nasdaq fell 1.6%. 

But there is another index, the Russell 2000, that has had an even rougher go of it. Last month, the 50-day moving average price crossed below the 200-day moving average in a technical phenomenon known as the "death cross."

On Wednesday, the Russell 2000, which houses small- and mid-cap stocks, was down 1.2%. From its most recent highs it's down 10%, meaning the index is in a correction. 

The S&P 500, meanwhile, is still more than 6% away from a correction and has gone more than twice its historical average number of days since its previous 10% slide, which came all the way back in spring 2012. 

In a recent note to clients, Jonathan Golub at RBC Capital Markets wrote that while the small-cap index had performed better than the larger-cap indexes during the market's recovery from the financial crisis, many stocks in the index are currently seeing valuations contract, which Golub attributes to a shift in investor sentiment. 

David Bianco at Deutsche Bank wrote in a note that growth expectations for Russell 2000 stocks were still too high for 2015, and he added that rising rates and disappointing results would continue to pressure valuations for Russell stocks. 

In other words, Golub and Bianco believe this correction is a correction in valuations, which means it won't necessarily bring the rest of the market down with it.


Here's the ugly action of the Russell year-to-date, a move that is certain to have investors asking: are the other indexes next?

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