Hello and welcome to Insider Investing. I'm Joe Ciolli, and I'm here to guide you through what's been happening in markets, as well as what to expect in the coming weeks. Here's what's on the docket: If you aren't yet a subscriber to Insider Investing, you can sign up here. Have thoughts on the newsletter? Just want to talk markets? Feel free to drop me a line at jciolli@insider.com or on Twitter @JoeCiolli. Your weekly recap/outlook This past week was a total throwback. GameStop traders ran rampant. The US stimulus outlook caused significant market gyrations. It felt like the last week January all over again. GameStop surged 104% in the final 30 minutes of trading on Wednesday and extended those gains to 311% at Thursday intraday highs. The spike was enough to cost short-sellers — apparently gluttons for punishment — another $1.9 billion in mark-to-market losses. The rally petered out on Friday, but it was refreshing for everyone's favorite brick-and-mortar game retailer to get another couple days in the sun. Strangely enough, the latest GameStop frenzy was largely overshadowed by a bond-market tantrum that saw 10-year Treasury yields climb to a more than one-year high. The culprit was renewed inflation fears stemming from President Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus bill. The worry is that consumer prices will overheat as the US economy snaps back into shape, and the Fed's assurance that it will keep a loose monetary policy for the foreseeable future did nothing to soothe nerves. The most overvalued segments of the stock market — most notably mega-cap tech — sold off swiftly as the skyrocketing yields suddenly made bonds an attractive alternative. At the center of all this going forward, per usual, is the economic recovery. The degree of progress will inform ongoing stimulus negotiations, which will stoke further debate about inflation risk. The narrative that prevails will determine whether the bond-market outburst was a flash in the pan, or a longer-term development that could upend portfolios and send stocks into another tailspin. Stay tuned. John Normand of JPMorgan is keeping a close eye on rates, and says a small increase could make a huge difference because the economy is so leveraged. Normand says he's still "comfortable" investing today, but that might change if real rates pick up. He laid out five asset classes that will protect investors if inflation ramps up. Read the full story here: All eyes were on Cathie Wood's Ark Invest this past week amid volatility in tech stocks. In recent interviews, two Ark analysts share how Wood has built the firm to weather pullbacks — and their responses provide insights into what it's like to work at the reputed firm. Read the full story here: The red-hot SPAC craze isn't slowing as 154 SPACs have raised $48.5 billion so far this year. JPMorgan's Michael Cembalest studied 85 SPACs to examine the winners and losers in the ecosystem. He also shared why it will be important to monitor the SPAC market over the next two years. Read the full story here: Stock pick central Seeking experts who are willing to name names? Look no further: |
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